Optimization of Methods for Forecasting the Number of Road Accidents

Abstract

Due to the abrupt rise in the number of vehicles on the road, there is an increasing risk of traffic accidents, which can result in fatalities and damage to economic resources. This is due to the rapid growth in the human population and the development in motorization. The biggest issue with anticipating and analyzing data on road accidents is the small quantity of the dataset that may be used for study in this area. Road accidents have a low geographical and temporal density, despite the fact that they cause millions of deaths and injuries annually.The purpose of this article is to suggest a strategy for improving methodologies for determining how frequently traffic accidents occur in Poland. Techniques for multi-criteria optimization were used in this. We can infer from the findings that the suggested method can be utilized to determine the best methods for forecasting the frequency of traffic accidents. The method used can successfully be used to forecast other events not only logistics or transportation.

Received: 21 November 2023 | Revised: 11 March 2024 | Accepted: 9 April 2024

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest to this work.

Data Availability Statement

Data available on request from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Author Contribution Statement

Piotr Gorzelańczyk: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Resources, Data curation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing, Visualization, Supervision, Project administration; Henryk Tylicki: Conceptualization, Methodology, Formal analysis, Project administration.